AUD/USD and GBP/USD Are Showing Opposite Results


Yesterday’s broad US Dollar strength was not noticed by the AUD, as it bounced off lows.

Price action like this can be blamed on intraday technicals, not having broken any major levels and still respecting the higher time frame resistance level on the daily chart.

AUD/USD daily

AUD/USD daily

My longer term bias has been to play for a breakout as the thick blue line is weekly support, but this little bout of Yellen inspired excitement means we might have to wait a little longer yet.

AUD/USD hourly

AUD/USD hourly

I wanted to include this AUD/USD hourly chart just to highlight the intraday price action. Retail traders often love to blame ‘broker stop hunting’ when they get taken out of a trade, but any of you who were short should have cleaned up.

Vantage FX client sentiment

Looking at the Vantage FX client sentiment sliders on our homepage and currently that’s 61% of our book. Nice!

Continuing to tick through the majors and this GBP/USD level just won’t go away.

GBP/USD 4 hours

GBP/USD 4 hours

There isn’t any point in including a higher time frame Cable chart, because of the Brexit drop to new lows. We’re trading in the era of ‘AB’ now. This is the new dawn.

Finally, I just wanted to include that Fed interest rate futures are only pricing in a 36% chance of a September rate hike, and following it up with a 61% chance in December. Friday’s NFP is going to be HUGE!

See you on the @VantageFX Twitter account!

This Tuesday

AUD Building Approvals m/m

USD CB Consumer Confidence

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This is a guest post originally appeared on Vantage FX. Reposted with permission.

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