Financial Markets Chose Their Presidential Debates Winner


For traders, the only debate winner there could be is the one that the market appoints for itself, and it did. As it happens, Hillary Clinton was pronounced the absolute winner in the First Presidential Debate.

S&P 500 hourly

S&P 500 hourly

As you can see, the first SP500 rally is the emotional rally that the debate spurred the market into. But looking at the price action for the rest of the day, and especially how much bigger the daily session’s around it are, Hillary on top really didn’t give the market the emotional kick that for example a clear Donald Trump win would have given in the opposite direction.

Markets are always happier if the status quo continues, and more of the same is what a Hillary Clinton victory would offer.

This changes nothing in terms of how the market is possibly underpricing the shock of a Donald Trump presidency and as we said yesterday, the Trump risk is real.

Looking at today’s Aussie Dollar chart of the day:

The AUD/USD scenario that we spoke about last week is starting to play out nicely with price testing higher time frame trend line resistance overnight for at least the SEVENTH time just this calendar year.

AUD/USD daily

AUD/USD daily

If you looked at getting long anywhere near the marked level to manage your risk around and held onto the trade, the drawdown was a minimal 20 pips from the line and you’re now sitting with a free trade that could get a whole lot better if the breakout comes.

All about putting yourselves in these positions to profit from the big moves when the do happen. Don’t be the trader chasing the last few pips of a breakout…

This Wednesday

USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

USD Fed Chair Yellen Testifies

EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks

USD Crude Oil Inventories

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This is a guest post originally appeared on Vantage FX. Reposted with permission.

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